Monday, October 15, 2012

What happened to the offenses?

We?re 10 days into the 2012 postseason and the American League finalists can?t hit, the Nationals League contenders can?t get any starting pitching and none of the teams still playing seem to be any better than the ones that were eliminated.

Here are the hitting lines of the four teams still standing:

Detroit: .258/.299/.351, 3 HR, 20 RBI in 248 AB
New York: .205/.277/.326, 6 HR, 20 RBI in 258 AB

St. Louis: .249/.342/.438, 9 HR, 40 RBI in 233 AB
San Fran: .196/.270/.332, 5 HR, 20 RBI in 199 AB

If these were actual regular-season player lines, the Cardinals would be a fringe regular as a corner outfielder and the other three would be riding the pine. The Yankees have scored fewer runs in their seven games than the NLDS-losing Reds did in five games.

The AL contenders have combined for 198 hits and 239 strikeouts so far. Obviously, that?s not the norm. In the regular season, AL teams had 20 hits for every 17 strikeouts. In the postseason, it?s been 20 hits for every 24 strikeouts.

Overall, AL hitters are batting .218 and slugging .310 this postseason. To put that in perspective, Justin Verlander limited major league hitters to a .217 average and a .306 slugging percentage this season. So, essentially, every AL pitcher this month is Justin Verlander.

The NL, on the other hand, hasn?t had it so bad for offense. Not early in games anyway. What is odd is just how bad the starters are getting roughed up, especially with four of the league?s top five rotations represented. Going by ERA, the Nationals had the NL?s best rotation this year, followed by the Dodgers, Cardinals, Reds and Giants. And yet?

Cardinals starters: 2-2, 4.22 ERA
Reds starters: 1-2, 4.30 ERA
Nationals starters: 0-2, 5.25 ERA
Giants starters: 1-3, 6.49 ERA

Outside of Washington?s, the bullpens have been far more effective, which is fortunate since they?ve so often needed to cover five innings per game. The Cards? bullpen has a 1.80 ERA in 30 innings. The Giants are at 2.51 ERA in 28 2/3 innings.

So, what are we left with 10 days in? The AL?s best offensive team has a .650 OPS, a mark that would have rated the worst in the major leagues this season. NL starting pitchers are 4-8 with a 4.92 ERA, which is a worse ERA than every NL team besides the Rockies posted this year. And for all of the exciting games, it?s hard to argue that we?ve actually seen a great caliber of play from any of these teams this month. While there have been thrills and chills, it hasn?t exactly been a showcase.

Source: http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/10/15/what-in-the-world-series-is-going-on-here/related

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